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		<identifier>oai:digit.pism.pl:6086</identifier>
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<dc:title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Context and Scenarios after the Referendum on Iraqi Kurdistan’s Independence]]></dc:title>
<dc:title xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[Context and Scenarios after the Referendum on Iraqi Kurdistan’s Independence]]></dc:title>
<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sasnal, Patrycja.]]></dc:creator>
<dc:subject xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Iraq]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Kurds]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Kurdish question]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Independence movements/liberation movements]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Referendum on subject issues]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Central government - region relations]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[International relations]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Regional international security]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[Irak]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[Kurdowie]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[problem kurdyjski]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[ruch niepodległościowy/ruch wyzwoleńczy]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[referendum dotyczące określonej sprawy]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[stosunki rząd centralny - region]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[stosunki międzynarodowe]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[regionalne bezpieczeństwo międzynarodowe]]></dc:subject>
<dc:subject xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[prognozy]]></dc:subject>
<dc:description xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Warsaw]]></dc:description>
<dc:description xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Regardless of whether the referendum on Iraqi Kurdistan’s independence takes place as planned on 25 September, its result is known: most Iraqi Kurds will vote in favour of independence. Depending on how the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) uses the result, a negative scenario—the outbreak of violence and further disintegration of Iraq—is still more probable than a positive one that would lead to incremental, peaceful negotiations with the central authorities in Baghdad on greater Kurdish independence. The pressure from regional allies of the Kurds, the U.S., EU, and the UN, seems to be intense enough to stop the Iraqi Kurds from unilaterally declaring independence even if they go ahead with the referendum.]]></dc:description>
<dc:description xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[Warsaw]]></dc:description>
<dc:description xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[Regardless of whether the referendum on Iraqi Kurdistan’s independence takes place as planned on 25 September, its result is known: most Iraqi Kurds will vote in favour of independence. Depending on how the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) uses the result, a negative scenario—the outbreak of violence and further disintegration of Iraq—is still more probable than a positive one that would lead to incremental, peaceful negotiations with the central authorities in Baghdad on greater Kurdish independence. The pressure from regional allies of the Kurds, the U.S., EU, and the UN, seems to be intense enough to stop the Iraqi Kurds from unilaterally declaring independence even if they go ahead with the referendum.]]></dc:description>
<dc:publisher><![CDATA[The Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM)]]></dc:publisher>
<dc:date><![CDATA[2017.09.22]]></dc:date>
<dc:type xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[file]]></dc:type>
<dc:type xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[file]]></dc:type>
<dc:format xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[349 KB]]></dc:format>
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<dc:format xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[349 KB]]></dc:format>
<dc:format xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[pdf]]></dc:format>
<dc:identifier><![CDATA[http://digit.pism.pl/Content/6086/Bulletin%20PISM%20no%2087%20(1027)%2022%20September%202017.pdf]]></dc:identifier>
<dc:identifier><![CDATA[https://digit.pism.pl/dlibra/publication/6270/edition/6086/content]]></dc:identifier>
<dc:identifier><![CDATA[oai:digit.pism.pl:6086]]></dc:identifier>
<dc:source xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Library of the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM)]]></dc:source>
<dc:source xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[PISM Bulletin no. 87 (1027), 2017]]></dc:source>
<dc:source xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[Library of the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM)]]></dc:source>
<dc:source xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[PISM Bulletin no. 87 (1027), 2017]]></dc:source>
<dc:language><![CDATA[eng]]></dc:language>
<dc:relation><![CDATA[Biuletyn PISM nr 87 (1529), 2017]]></dc:relation>
<dc:relation><![CDATA[oai:digit.pism.pl:publication:6270]]></dc:relation>
<dc:rights xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[The Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM)]]></dc:rights>
<dc:rights xml:lang="pl"><![CDATA[The Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM)]]></dc:rights>
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